Vissel Kobe and Gamba Osaka will go head-to-head in their third match of the J1 League 2023. The home side leads the league table with back-to-back wins. They are one of the three teams with a perfect record this season. Gamba Osaka, on the other hand, have drawn both matches and are looking for their first win of the season. As the teams look to earn a win in this match, we look at some of their stats that could predict the outcome of the match.
Vissel Kobe’s winning start
Vissel Kobe started the campaign with a narrow 1-0 win over Avispa Fukuoka. This was followed by a 3-1 win over Consadole Sapporo. Despite winning both matches, Vissel Kobe were unable to show full dominance on the field. The team averaged 48.22% ball possession and 360.5 passes per match with a 78.9% accuracy rate. However, they were able to create 32.5 positional attacks and 2.5 counterattacks per match and attempted 27 shots in total with a 48.1% accuracy rate. In the first match, ten shots were attempted with a 40% accuracy rate. The second match saw the attempts go up to 17, and nine were on target.
In these two matches, Vissel Kobe’s players progressed down the flank with the ball. The ball progression visual shows that Vissel Kobe players created most of the threat from the left side. Their xG map above also indicates that most of the attempts also took place from the left side of the field. By looking at the second viz, we can observe that the progressive passes into the box are either crosses or long diagonal passes. Vissel Kobe will look to trouble the opposition defence with the same tactics and continue their winning run.
The visitors searching for the first win
Gamba Osaka started the season with a 2-2 draw against Kashiwa Reysol. Their next match ended in a 1-1 draw against Sagan Tosu. In these two matches, the team averaged 25 positional attacks and two counterattacks. Overall, Gamba Osaka attempted 28 shots and had an accuracy rate of 35.7%. They attempted a lot of shots from the edge of the penalty box.
Gamba Osaka averaged 53.35% possession in both matches. The player passes the ball 535.5 times per match and had an 88.8% accuracy rate. They will look to take hold of the ball against this Vissel Kobe side.
The visitors like to use the full width of the pitch. They made most of their ball progression from the left side and a few came from the centre and the right side as well. When looking at the progressive passes chart, we can observe that Gamba Osaka players failed to penetrate the opposition’s penalty box from these passes. They were able to reach the final third but failed to reach the penalty box. The manager will demand his players to be more clinical in their passing.
As per the 1×2 betting odds, Vissel Kobe are the favourites to win the match. They have an odds rate of around 2.05 to win the match. The next possibility is that the match might end in a draw. The odds of the match ending in a draw are 3.4. Gamba Osaka’s chances of winning the match have an odds rate of around 3.8. This is expected to be a tight game and could turn out to be a low-scoring one.
This fixture is expected to be a tight match between the two teams. Both teams are unbeaten, with one team having a 100% record and the other yet to register a win. These are the initial stages, and the teams will look to carry this early-season momentum.
Visuals via TFA data viz engine